Statement and Conclusions
Reasoning · Logical & Analytical Reasoning
Picture a judge in a court giving a verdict. He accepts only what has been placed before him as evidence; what someone “feels”, or what people outside “say”, does not decide the case. In statement and conclusion questions you are that judge and the statement is your only evidence.
The question gives a short statement, which you must take as true, and under it two (sometimes three or four) conclusions — things claimed to come out of the statement. You decide which of them really does.
This chapter teaches you from the very beginning: first the true meaning of “follows”, then the small words that change the whole meaning (all, some, most, only, never), then how to pick among the five answers, and finally the traps in which marks are usually lost.
How to use this chapter
- Read — each part explains the idea first, then gives rules and tables.
- Study the solved example — in the “Example” boxes the full reason for each decision is open. Read the “why” beside every conclusion.
- Try it yourself — in the “Try it yourself first” questions the solution is hidden. Decide yes or no on each conclusion first, then pick the option.
- Know the level — Basic, Standard, Advanced. Make the basic ones solid first.
Foundation — statement, conclusion and “follows”
The vocabulary, the test for “follows”, and the small words that fix how strong a sentence is.
Statement, conclusion and “follows”
What a statement is, what a conclusion is, and the plain test for a conclusion to “follow”.
| Term | Meaning | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Statement | One or two sentences of information which you must take as true | “The shop remains closed on Sundays.” |
| Conclusion | A claim said to be drawn from the statement | “Nothing can be bought from the shop on Sunday.” |
| Follows | If the statement is true, this conclusion must be true as well | The conclusion above |
| Does not follow | Even when the statement is true this conclusion can be false, or the statement is silent about it | “The shop is open on Mondays.” |
Notice that “does not follow” does not mean “is false”. Many conclusions may well be true, but the statement does not prove them. The question does not ask “true or false”; it asks “is it certain from the statement or not”.
- 1Conclusion I follows. The train is cancelled, so travelling by it is not possible — a direct result.
- 2Conclusion II does not follow. The train is off for ten days, but the statement does not say when the repair will end.
Only the statement’s evidence — four tests
Keeping outside information away and asking four questions of every conclusion.
The commonest mistake is mixing in what we already know or our own opinion. The exam says: treat the statement as the whole world. About whatever is not in it, you know nothing.
Ask these four questions of any conclusion:
| Question | If “yes” | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Is this very thing written in the statement (perhaps in other words)? | Follows | “remains closed” → “will not be found open” |
| Does it come out for certain by adding, subtracting or joining the numbers / order of the statement? | Follows | 8 of 40 selected → 32 not selected |
| Do you need a fact from outside the statement to believe it? | Does not follow | “the driver was drunk” |
| Is it stronger than the statement (all, always, only, certainly)? | Does not follow | “most” to “all” |
A golden rule: a conclusion may be weaker than the statement but never stronger. From “most buses run late” you get “some buses run late” (weaker), but not “all buses” (stronger).
- 1Conclusion I does not follow. The first rank does not prove intelligence; hard work and opportunity count too. This is an outside belief.
- 2Conclusion II follows. First position means that nobody is above her.
Small words, big effect
The ladder of strength of the quantity words and the special rule for “only”.
The same sentence with “all”, “most” or “some” gives a very different meaning. Recognising these words and understanding their strength is the most important skill in judging conclusions.
| Word | What is certain | What is not certain |
|---|---|---|
| all / every / each | Not a single member is left out | The reverse (that those outside the group are excluded) |
| most / majority / generally | More than half; so “some” too | “all” |
| some / several / at least one | At least one | “all” or “most”; and “some are not” as well |
| only / alone / none but | Everyone else is out | That all those inside actually do it |
| hardly any / very few | Very few (near zero) | “none” |
| never / always / must | Holds in the whole range | Holding at times or places outside that range |
From “all” you get “most” and “some”; from “most” you get “some”; but from “some” you do not get “most” or “all”.
The special rule for “only”
“Only members can take books” means: being a member is a necessary condition. So “a non-member cannot take books” follows. But “every member takes books” does not — the condition is necessary, not enough. By contrast, in “all members can take books” the outsiders are not mentioned, so “a non-member cannot take books” does not follow from it.
- 1Conclusion I follows. The smallest meaning of “some” is “at least one”.
- 2Conclusion II does not follow. Jumping from “some” to “all” is an extreme conclusion.
The five answers and how to choose
The standard five options, the three conditions for “either I or II”, and questions with three or four conclusions.
The five standard answers
When each option is right and the order of making the decision.
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When “either I or II” is the answer
Spotting complementary conclusions: one of the two must be true, not both together.
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One statement, three or four conclusions
The same method for questions with three or four conclusions and a way to cut options.
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Traps — where marks are lost most
Four kinds of conclusion that sound right but do not come out of the statement — and the rules to catch them.
Extremes and hasty generalising
Why a claim about the whole group from a few cases or one sample is wrong.
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Beyond the statement: cause, opinion, advice, future
Five kinds of outside matter, the signal words that betray them, and examples.
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If-then statements
Exactly what follows from a conditional statement, and how to translate “only if” and “unless”.
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Certain conclusions and “may” conclusions
What comes out of a statement with “likely”, “hope” or “risk”, and what does not.
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Conclusions you can check by calculation
Conclusions resting on the numbers of two groups and on chains of “more-less”.
Conclusions resting on numbers
The least and most number of members common to two groups, and a test for each word.
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Chains of comparison
Building an order from “A is more than B” statements; what is certain, what is open and what is the opposite.
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Strategy guide
The order of testing a conclusion, a table of signal words and the mistakes that keep repeating.
Order of checks and signal words
Let the word you see in the conclusion decide which check to apply.
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Common traps and time-savers
The commonest reasons for losing marks in conclusion questions.
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Mixed practice
Questions of different types together, in three levels.
Basic practice
Plain statements, counting and simple comparison.
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Standard practice
“Only”, “hardly any”, advice versus conclusion, and the numbers of two groups.
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Advanced practice
Reversed cause-effect moves, three conclusions and the comparison of five persons.
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Revision — cards
Think of the answer yourself first, then flip.
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